The University of Arizona Campus Repository: Recent submissions
Now showing items 21-40 of 111325
-
Verified Novel Diffusion MRI Signatures of Neuroinflammation in Experimental Diffuse Traumatic Brain InjuryDiffuse traumatic brain injury (TBI) represents the most common form of brain injury, yet conventional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) fails to detect neuroinflammatory pathophysiology without overt structural abnormalities. Diffusion MRI (dMRI) offers sensitivity to microscale pathophysiological changes, but imaging signatures, characteristic patterns on scans, require validation against histopathological markers. This study established radiologic-pathologic correspondence between dMRI signatures and histopathologic targets in experimental diffuse TBI. Ex vivo dMRI was performed on adult Sprague Dawley rats (n = 4) 7 days post-injury using a 7T system with mean apparent propagator metrics including Return-to-Axis Probability (RTAP) and Return-to-Origin Probability (RTOP). Immunohistochemical analysis used markers for microglia (Iba1+, CD83), astrocytes (GFAP, AQP4), and neuronal integrity (MAP2). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis evaluated the diagnostic performance of each marker using skeleton analysis protocols. Quantitative morphological analysis compared the primary somatosensory barrel field cortex (S1BF) and the motor cortex (control). Spatial correspondence was established between dMRI hyperintensity in RTAP and RTOP maps, where qualitative analysis identified high concentrations of microglial (Iba1+) pathology in the S1BF. Iba1+ quantitative analysis revealed significantly lower microglial endpoints and higher process length in S1BF regions compared to motor cortex, representative of injured pathology. CD83 showed contrasting endpoint patterns to Iba1+ but similar process length increase, providing complementary validation of microglial activation. CD83 endpoints demonstrated the strongest diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.750), while Iba1+ endpoints revealed an inverse relationship requiring reinterpretation (AUC = 0.816). GFAP, AQP4, and MAP2 showed minimal regional differences and poor diagnostic performance, suggesting limited utility as biomarkers at this timepoint. Imaging confusion matrix analysis demonstrated perfect specificity in control regions but limited sensitivity (33.3%) in injury regions. This study provides verification of radiologic-pathologic correspondence between dMRI signatures and microglial activation in experimental diffuse TBI.
-
"We Only Have to Be Lucky Once": Political Opportunity and Strategic Oscillation in South Africa and Northern IrelandResistance movements rarely follow a linear path: they adapt as political environments open or close, and as internal debates and resource pressures shape what strategies remain viable. However, much of the literature reduces violent and nonviolent resistance to a fixed binary, obscuring how campaigns shift between them in response to changing political opportunities. This thesis asks: how do movements engaged in both violent and nonviolent resistance negotiate between these strategies, and what roles do political opportunity, leadership dynamics, cost-benefit analysis, and resource constraints play in those decisions? I develop the concepts of strategic oscillation — the deliberate return to earlier violent or nonviolent tactics — and tactical hybridity, the simultaneous pursuit of multiple approaches. Using qualitative case studies of the anti-apartheid movement in South Africa and the Irish republican movement in Northern Ireland, I trace how both campaigns began as nonviolent struggles, adopted armed tactics when major state repression narrowed political openings, and ultimately returned to nonviolence when new opportunities emerged. South Africa leveraged international legitimacy and sanctions to expand nonviolent pressure, while Irish republicans drew on diaspora support and internal factional contestation to sustain violence longer before shifting toward electoral politics and negotiations. The analysis finds that movements do not simply react to repression or marginalization; they interpret and exploit shifting political opportunities, weighing legitimacy, resources, and leadership priorities in deciding when to escalate or de-escalate. Understanding these oscillations reframes resistance as an adaptive process driven by how movements navigate the openings and constraints of their political environment over time.
-
Ultrafast Parametric Laser Technology for Strong-field science in Long-Wave InfraredIntense, ultrashort-pulse laser sources (USPLs) enable a wide range of applications in remote sensing, laser wakefield acceleration, and directed energy. The extremity of the underlying physical phenomena scales favorably with the wavelength of the laser driver, yet, to-date, most of the investigations in intense light-matter interactions used high-power USPLs operating in the relatively narrow wavelength range in the near infrared (NIR). This applies to the nonlinear self-channeling of USPL pulses in air, known as laser filamentation, the primary motivator for the work discussed in this dissertation. Like several other metrics in intense light-matter interactions, the threshold for self-focusing, which is the prerequisite to filamentation, and the optical power carried by an individual laser filament, both scale in proportion to the wavelength of the laser squared. Recent developments in the ultrafast laser technology have enabled the extension of the studies of air filamentation from the familiar NIR spectral range to the short-wave and mid-wave infrared (SWIR and MWIR, respectively). An interesting effect accompanying MWIR filamentation is the efficient and non-perturbation generation of low odd-order harmonics of the optical driver. As the results of our experiments show, spectral interference of the neighboring harmonics carries information about the carrier-envelope phase (CEP) of the MWIR driver pulses and can be used for the single-shot CEP characterization. Contrary to intuition, the carrier-phase information is preserved through the highly nonlinear propagation through the interaction region in the presence of ionization. The natural extension of these and other studies in strong-field science to LWIR is hindered by the lack of practical optical sources in that wavelength range. To address this shortcoming, we have designed and constructed a source of ultrashort optical pulses operating at the center wavelength of 8.5 um. The source is based on optical parametric chirped-pulse amplification (OPCPA) and currently generates one-millijoule pulses at the repetition rate of ten pulses per second. The optical bandwidth of the generated LWIR emission supports one hundred femtosecond pulse duration, corresponding to multi-gigawatt peak optical power. In this dissertation, I will discuss the principle of operation of this OPCPA source, and the major trade-offs involved in its design.
-
Optogenetic Investigation of Ca2+ Handling In Early Diabetic RetinopathyBackground: Previous work showed that electrically-evoked inhibition to Rod Bipolar Cells (RBC) is reduced in a mouse model of early diabetes. It is hypothesized that this is due to impaired Ca2+ handling in the presynaptic amacrine cell, either through increased Ca2+ buffering or decreased influx. To test this hypothesis and develop a mechanism for this effect, a model where direct optogenetic activation of inhibitory amacrine cells that expressed the light-activated channel ChR2 was used to isolate amacrine cell inputs to RBCs. Application of selective Ca2+ channel blockers could then assess potential locations of amacrine Ca2+ disruption. Using whole cell patch clamp electrophysiology, recordings were made from a 6 week diabetic population and vehicle injected control animals. Results: Robust inhibitory currents were recorded from RBCs after ChR2 stimulus that were significantly diminished by the application of nifedipine to block L-type Ca2+ channels in both diabetic and control conditions. There were no significant differences in the magnitude of these responses between conditional groups. However, in the control group the decay tau of the response to the 50ms stimulus was significantly diminished by nifedipine (? p =0.0498, n = 5), but this was not seen in the diabetic group (? p = 0.9498, n=7). A 1s nifedipine-reduced response saw its decay tau increase in the diabetic group but not the control. Ca2+ - induced Ca2+ release (CICR) blockade with ryanodine decreased responsivity equally between groups in the 1s stimulus, but showed no significant kinetic changes. CICR blockade for a 50ms stimulus response showed significant kinetic changes in diabetes, but otherwise reduced the response equally between diabetic and control. Blockade of the mitochondrial Ca2+ uniporter (MCU) had little effect on the optogenetic response. Conclusion: This study presents evidence that diabetes alters amacrine cell output to the rod bipolar cell unmasked through blockade of the L-type calcium channel, and the Endoplasmic Reticulum (ER). An apparent explanation for our results is that diabetic calcium buffering is dysregulated, leading to prolonged responses. The underlying mechanism for this alteration is complex and not yet clearly elucidated. Significance: Using optogenetic isolation of amacrine to RBC inputs, we show nifedipine unmasks slower decay kinetics (1s), and delayed onset in diabetes at 50ms, that ryanodine blockade modulates kinetics in control, but not diabetic (50ms), while MCU blockade has minimal effect.
-
Investigating the Relationships Between Vegetation, Water Use, Habitat Quality, and Conservation Across the United States — Mexico Border RegionThe United States-Mexico transboundary region comprises myriad land covers withdistinct ecosystems, with the desert biome characterized by limited water resources. Water availability plays a vital role in evapotranspiration (ET) and is essential for determining environmental conservation strategies and sustainable management decisions. This study quantifies ET across his diverse landscape using a decade of Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) data (2013–2022) at 30-m resolution, and climatological data from the 1-km resolution DAYMET dataset to compute ET. The empirical Nagler ET model developed using the Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) was applied with Landsat to estimate ETa. A newly developed regional land cover map was used in this study to constrain the analysis of Eta patterns for six selected land cover class types as an initial proof-of-concept methodology. The results showed the highest ETa rates in the higher-elevation land cover classes (The Madrean Upper Conifer Woodland and Shrubland) and land cover classes along the riparian corridors (North American Arid West Emergent Marsh, the North American Warm Desert Lower Montane Riparian Woodland and Shrubland), while the lowest are in drier areas (The Sonoran-Mojave Creosotebush–White Bursage Desert Scrub), which reflects the capacity of each land cover class to retain and transpire water. ETa patterns aligned with vegetation indices; an indication that Eta may be considered a reliable metric for estimating land cover conditions to determine general health, habitat quality, and resilience in the face of environmental disturbance and pressures.
-
Explorations in Quantum Control: From Time Crystals to Emulation of Quantum Many Body PhysicsWe investigate the signatures of a time crystal phase in a small Hilbert space and use numerics to explore the effects of dimension size on the properties of the time crystal. We use the kicked p-spin model as a toy model to demonstrate properties of a time crystal phase on an analog quantum simulator. We develop a mathematical framework to gain insight in how to describe the locality of perturbations and its corresponding effects on the rigidity of a time crystal. In addition to time crystal dynamics, we also explore the feasibility of a new protocol dubbed Universal Robust Control proposed by Poggi [Phys. Rev. Lett., 132, 193801 (2024)] for optimizing control waveforms for our analog quantum simulator. We also present a numerical study of simulations in support of a quantum mean-field feed-forward emulation experiment.
-
Harmonies Across Generations: Engaging Chinese Seniors Immigrants and Pre-Service Music Teachers Through a Culturally Responsive Choir in the U.SThe senior immigrant population in the United States continues to grow. More than ten percent of seniors in the U.S. who are 65 and older were born outside of the U.S. (Elderly Immigrants in the United States," n.d.). The increase in the senior immigrant population in the U.S. is primarily due to the aging of the foreign-born population and immigrants or refugees entering the U.S. to reunite with their families (ASA Generations, 2022). It is projected that by 2060, immigrants 60 years of age and older will make up about a quarter of the elderly population in the U.S. (New Old Immigrants in the U.S., 2022). This includes a large number of older Asian immigrants. Some researchers have proposed that music, as a universal language, contributes to older adults' health and quality of life and promotes the ability to foster cultural understanding and social interaction (MacDonald et al., 2012; Fung & Lehmberg, 2016). However, while there is a large amount of literature on immigrant communities, there is limited research on the link between music and immigration. More in-depth research is necessary to fill this gap. In addition, how to provide culturally sensitive social services or multicultural music programs to ameliorate loneliness and social isolation among senior immigrant Chinese Americans continues to be a common challenge for the public (Stewart et al., 2011). This research aims to build a sustainable, innovative, and inclusive music program that meets Chinese immigrant older adults' diverse needs and expectations while providing hands-on and community-engaged learning opportunities for pre-service teachers. It seeks to be a culturally resonant space that promotes cultural respect and social inclusion while utilizing the power of music as a tool for lifelong learning, social connection, and enhanced emotional and cognitive health. The study found that music participation can evoke deep cultural memories among senior immigrants and promote identity reconstruction, while collective music activities strengthen social connections. Pre-service teachers also experienced a shift in their educational philosophy during this process. This study reveals the role of music in the cultural empowerment and emotional health of immigrant seniors and provides cross-cultural and community-oriented practical references for music education teacher training.
-
Exploring the Clinical Utility of Genetic Testing in Patients with Primary HyperparathyroidismPrimary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT) is a common endocrine disorder characterized by increased levels of serum calcium and parathyroid hormone. Although frequently sporadic, a genetic etiology can be confirmed, usually through multi-gene panels, by the identification of germline pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants (GPVs) in at least ten genes in 10-30% of PHPT cases, with important implications for management. Recently published expert guidelines by the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR) recommend genetic testing for patients with PHPT who are under the age of 30, have multiglandular involvement, and/or a family history of hypercalcemia or a PHPT-related condition. We reviewed the medical records of 31 unrelated patients referred for a genetic evaluation for PHPT to calculate the diagnostic rate of testing and compare the phenotypes of patients by testing outcome. The diagnostic rate of genetic testing in patients with PHPT in this study was similar to other rates reported in the literature. As expected, six out of seven individuals with positive genetic testing results were found to meet ASBMR criteria. Importantly, exome sequencing (ES) performed in individuals identified to have an atypical phenotype identified GPVs in genes not included in PHPT multi-gene panels, which was the most common testing modality. These results highlight the utility of genetic testing in patients with PHPT and the role of ES in patients with atypical phenotypic presentations. Larger studies will be beneficial to further investigate the utility of ES in these disorders.
-
From Design to Production for Metal Additive Manufacturing: A Dual Focus on Model-Based Design Guidance and Workforce PreparednessEffective use of additive manufacturing (AM) design freedom and rapid manufacturing capabilities requires designers to promptly address geometry-related quality issues, such as distortion, to ensure part accuracy. To date, AM part design has been a challenging and expensive process, given the complexity and cost of the AM process, the design freedom, and the limited availability of AM data. As a result, ensuring part design for improved quality hinders the broader adoption of AM technologies and may discourage designers from engaging with AM. The trial-and-error design process, based on time-consuming simulations, experiments, and ad-hoc rules, highlights the need for more efficient, data-driven design frameworks. Data-driven models can provide faster predictions of AM process-induced distortion, generate design guidelines by analyzing critical geometric features, and perform design compensation based on these distortion predictions. My research has three distinct aims focused on improving AM design processes and preparation of students for AM: (1) compensate part designs for minimizing part quality issues for the metal AM process, particularly laser powder bed fusion (LPBF), (2) efficiently predict AM part quality and provide design modifications based on the critical geometric features, and (3) explore engineering students experience in engineering, their engineering identity formation and engagement in makerspace to provide a scalable solution that increase students engagement in design and making activities like AM. To address the first aim, a key dimensional characteristics-based geometry compensation integrated remanufacturing framework for reverse engineering (RE) and AM was proposed. The proposed two distortion compensation algorithms utilized the 3D CAD model and the STL model. Findings indicated that STL-based compensation underperformed the CAD-based approach. The deviation distributions of the four remanufactured parts (two case study parts with two compensation methods) and their corresponding nominal geometries had mean values ranging from 30.0 μm to 48.9 μm and standard deviations ranging from 66.2 μm to 78.6 μm. The second aim is to develop a machine learning-based geometry-driven distortion risk (low, medium, or high risk) prediction model for a broad range of axisymmetric geometries. This model identified critical geometric features of parts that contribute to geometrical deviations and quality prediction, and provided targeted design modification recommendations for parts based on their predicted quality measures. This approach can deliver fast and high-quality predictions for a wide range of parts. Shape descriptors accurately classified distortion risk (with an accuracy of 86.4% for 81 test parts) and recommended design modifications to reduce distortion risks based on the key geometric feature trends for distortion risk classes. The third aim of understanding diverse students' engagement in making, makerspaces, and engineering, as well as their engineering identity formation, revealed emergent themes on making. For example, men and womxn (students who identified as women as one of their gender identities) may hold differing perspectives or exhibit varying interests in makerspace engagement, with men focused on specific technologies in the makerspace, while womxn are focused on space, community, and projects, and students feel more like engineers by the end of the semester. These findings can help develop more inclusive and engaging engineering courses, as well as support the development of the AM curriculum. The ML-based part distortion prediction and design recommendation, as well as the geometric feature-based design compensation model and the exploration of differences in engineering students' experiences and engagement in design and manufacturing, can support the broader goal of transitioning seamlessly from design and geometry capture to AM parts with reduced distortion. Model-based methods can capture the interactions among geometric features that impact part distortions, providing accurate and rapid predictions of distortion, design modifications, and compensation. Taken together, this dissertation reinforces the need for model-based methods and workforce training on design for quality that ensures both design intent and part quality in metal AM.
-
Innovative Precision Alignment, Stray Light Suppression Solutions for UV Space-Borne and Suborbital MissionsThis dissertation addresses key optical engineering challenges in modern astronomicalinstruments, focusing on stray light contamination, optical misalignments, and design limitations that affect the performance of space-based and balloon-borne telescopes. These challenges hinder the precision of measurements critical for scientific discovery, and this work presents novel solutions to optimize instrument performance. In Chapter 2, we focus on re-aligning the FIREBall-2 spectrograph, a NASA/CNES balloon-borne telescope designed to study the circumgalactic medium. During its first flight, optical misalignments led to suboptimal resolution, with spatial resolution degrading to 7′′ and spectral resolution to 1300. Post-flight evaluation revealed significant misalignments of optical elements beyond tolerance. We detail a re-alignment procedure that uses Computer-Generated Holograms (CGHs) with a Zygo interferometer to achieve precise alignment of the focal corrector system, resulting in improved performance in the 2023 re-flight. Chapter 3 addresses stray light contamination in the Aspera SmallSat mission, a NASA-funded project aimed at studying galaxy evolution by detecting diffuse O VI emission at 103.2 nm. Stray light degrades the signal-to-noise ratio in spectroscopic observations of galaxy halos. To mitigate this, a two-stage baffle design is proposed, featuring optimized vane geometries and strategically placed shared baffles coated with Acktar Magic Black. Simulation results show that this design effectively meets the mission’s stringent stray light suppression requirements. A third study in Chapter 4 investigates the performance of a dual-ruled grating spectrometer as part of the Spatial Heterodyne Extreme Ultraviolet Interferometer (SHEUVI) project. SHEUVI is a wide-field, all-reflective spatial heterodyne spectrometer that utilizes a single, dual-ruling grating to diffract incoming normal-incidence light into symmetric orders, thereby generating a dispersion-based interference pattern on a detector. Designed to operate at wavelengths below the transmissive optics cutoff (approximately 105 nm), this innovative design minimizes optical path differences by producing both interfering beams from the same grating location. Experimental characterization of the 800 gr/mm ruling, optimized for approximately 590 nm at m = ±1 with a symmetric blaze angle of 13.8, confirms the grating’s effectiveness in isolating and sampling discrete passbands. In conclusion, Chapter 5 of this dissertation presents solutions to common optical challenges including stray light suppression, optical alignment, and diffraction efficiency, that affect astronomical instruments. These contributions enhance the performance of current space missions and provide valuable insights for optimizing the design of future telescopes.
-
Essays on Information, Disclosure, and SearchThis dissertation explores the incentives of manufacturers to communicate product attribute information to consumers strategically. Two essays examine how firms shape consumer knowledge and search behavior to create favorable competitive conditions, either in horizontal competition with rivals or in vertical relationships with suppliers.Essay 1 outlines how vertical interactions between the manufacturer and suppliers and the horizontal competition between suppliers determine a manufacturer’s incentives for information disclosure. Contrary to the classic literature on quality disclosure, which suggests that manufacturers of all quality levels should voluntarily disclose their private quality information to buyers, recent theoretical advances indicate that mechanisms such as vertical channel interactions may lead manufacturers to withhold high-quality levels. In contrast, empirical evidence and anecdotal observations show that many nonintegrated firms do disclose high-quality levels. This essay addresses this discrepancy by providing a theoretical explanation of how the nature and intensity of supplier-level competition influence manufacturers' incentives to disclose quality. I show that when suppliers are vertically differentiated, the manufacturer discloses all quality levels, regardless of the intensity of upstream competition. Moreover, when suppliers are homogeneous with asymmetric costs or horizontally differentiated, full disclosure can arise if competition is sufficiently intense. Otherwise, partial disclosure emerges, where the manufacturer discloses high and medium-low quality levels but avoids disclosing low and medium-high levels. Additionally, this essay identifies conditions under which channel instruments, such as side payments and pre-commitment to wholesale prices, can encourage manufacturers to disclose quality, thereby improving system profits. The results highlight the impact of disclosure on consumer welfare and product line decisions. Finally, in contrast with the channels’ literature, this essay demonstrates that when consumers are uncertain of quality, introducing upstream competition to a bilateral monopoly may hurt channel efficiency. Essay 2 provides a rationale for the use of product comparison tools and identifies the conditions under which this strategy is profitable. Some firms offer unbiased comparison tools on their websites, even when doing so reveals weaknesses in certain product attributes and risks losing customers already familiar with the firm. Using a game-theoretic framework, we conceptualize comparison tools as a strategic means of influencing the consumer search process by disclosing competing products’ attributes. The model considers manufacturer comparative disclosure and consumer search as two parallel information channels. Contrary to the expectations of regulators and policymakers, this essay shows that comparison tools can decrease competition and lead to higher market prices. It argues that by increasing consumer knowledge about competing products, comparison tools enable marketers to segment the market more effectively based on consumer fit, resulting in less elastic demand. Surprisingly, when firms are symmetric in quality, mutual comparison not only benefits them but also may increase consumer welfare. With firms asymmetric in quality, mutual comparison benefits those with closer quality levels; however, when the quality gap is wide, only the lower-quality firm benefits from comparison. The findings suggest that comparison by a higher-quality product is more likely to be profitable if it is more familiar to consumers or if consumer search costs are higher.
-
Value at Risk and its Applications in Cattle Feeding ManagementThe risk measurement technique known as Value-at-Risk (VaR) has recently become a standard approach for measuring the market risk of financial and commodity derivatives. With the bankruptcy of the Baring bank and other financial banking crises, VaR has been the focus to aide as a financial management tool. VaR also has potential to help in assessing risks for an agricultural enterprise. This study provides a "state-of-theart" review of VaR estimation techniques and presents an empirical application for a cattle feeding operation. Different estimation techniques like historical moving averages, RiskMetrics, GARCH, and implied volatilities are deployed in predicting losses associated with cattle feeding margins. Results show that these techniques provide wellcalibrated estimates of VaR such that violations ( actual losses exceeding the VaR estimate) are commensurate with the desired level of confidence. In particular, estimates developed using J.P. Morgan's RiskMetrics™ methodology appear most robust for a linear payoff series such as cash commodity prices.
-
Measuring Food Security Using Household Expenditure Surveys: A Comparison of Quantity and Quality Indicators for Ghana, Malawi, and UgandaFood security exists when " all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life"(FAO 1996, p.1083). Achieving Sustainable food security in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) could be quite a challenge to the ultimate objective of a "hunger free" World. Food security is certainly one of the most complex and multi-dimensional issues of our times in the region, and it is an important measure of development. The general topic of this thesis is the measurement of food security. The general question this thesis asks is: if we include both diet quantity and diet quality in a set of food security indicators, what difference does it make for targeting food-insecure populations and the types of policies needed to reduce food insecurity? Specifically, this thesis investigates two indicators of food security using data from national Household Expenditure Surveys (HESs) conducted in three Sub-Saharan Africa countries in the late 1990s: Ghana, Malawi and Uganda. The two indicators are: household calorie availability, a measure of the quantity of food people eat, and diet diversity, a measure of the quality of that food. Two questions are explored: (1) Do the indicators tell us different things about who in a population is food insecure and the prevalence of food insecurity? And (2) Do they have different determinants? To answer the first question, correlation analysis and contingency tables are employed. To answer the second, community fixed-effects regression analysis (Ordinary Least Squares and Two-stage Least Squares) is employed.
-
Household Income Allocation: Effects of Gender on Demand and Expenditure Patters in South AfricaThis study investigates the effects of gender of household head on demand and expenditure patterns in South Africa. Effects of household income on household commodity expenditure shares and child nutritional status by the gender of household head are evaluated. Available literature on intra-household resource allocation, indicates an ongoing debate about whether income in the hands of women is a better investment as opposed to income under the control of men. Investment at household level refers to the broadening of opportunities for increased household welfare through education, health and socio-economic services to members. A demand model has been used to aggregate individual demands given an aggregate income constraint on the household. A collective model was used to conceptualize household preferences assuming household members have different preferences. Empirical results show that female headed households generally do better in influencing child nutritional status but it is not clear which gender of household head has a bigger impact on the demand for household commodities.
-
The Value of Climate Forecast Information in the Range Cattle Stocking DecisionSince precipitation is a crucial component for forage production in the southeastern rangelands of Arizona, ranching operations m this region are highly vulnerable to fluctuations in climate patterns. If crude ENSO forecasts are the only type of climate information available to a rancher, can this information improve resource management strategies and influence the stocking decision? The stocking decision is modeled for the San Carlos cow-calf ranching operation through a stylized dynamic stochastic framework utilizing El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts that represent qualitatively different types of climate activity such as El Nino and La Nina events to determine the value of climate forecast information in the range cattle stocking decision. ENSO forecasts can lead to improved ranch profits as well as lower average stocking rates.
-
Valuation of Ranchette Amenities: Hedonic Price ApproachA hedonic price model has been used to ascertain the relevant characteristics that lead to the sale of rural, traditionally ranched or agricultural land parcels of 2-40 acres as "ranchettes" in Arizona. One of the characteristics of a ranchette is given by remoteness variables obtained from adjacency to open spaces and neighbors. The environmental characteristics pertaining to scenic beauty are obtained from remotely sensed satellite data through a vegetation greenness index. It was found that the greenness measure is a significant variable influencing the price of ranchettes. It was also found that those purchasing ranchettes were influenced by adjacency of the ranchette to public lands or open spaces. However, the presence of neighbors did not have any significant influence on the price of the ranchettes.
-
The Factors Influencing Organic Produce Demand: Evidence From Household Scanner Panel DataExisting literature analyzing consumer demand for organically grown produce has primarily consisted of studies that contain self- reported data from a specific region in the US. Research utilizing direct purchasing behavior of organic produce at the household level is almost non-existent. With the use of ACNielsen household scanner data, consumer demand and loyalty to organic fresh products are analyzed as a function of own price, income, conventional prices, household composition, and demographic attributes. While organic products still maintain a small market share in the produce industry, an empirical model must correctly account for corner solutions where a high percentage of households choose conventional over organic items. In controlling for unobserved heterogeneity of households in a panel model, empirical estimates suggest that price effects, the presence of adolescent children, larger households, income levels, and female head of household demographics are statistically significant influences on organic produce purchase decisions at the household level.
-
Nonparametric Regression of Possibly Similar CurvesIn many situations it is needed to estimate a set of curves that are believed to be similar in structure. In such case, Ker (2000) suggests the use of external information from the other curves in order to reduce the bias of the standard nonparametric estimator for an individual regression function. In the density case, Ker showed that the inclusion of external data in the estimation of a given density generates sizeable efficiency gains when the different underlying densities are similar. While Ker focuses on bias reduction, Racine and Li (2000) and Altman and Casella (1995) devised estimators that can be used to reduce the variance of the standard nonparametric methods by smoothing across possibly similar curves. All of these techniques have however the same objective: improve on the standard nonparametric estimators. This thesis undertakes Monte Carlo simulations and two empirical applications to evaluate potential gains obtained by using nonparametric techniques that integrate external information. The simulations undertaken show that when the curves are similar in shape, the gains can be enormous: some of these methods outperform the standard nonparametric estimator significantly by reducing its mean integrated squared error by as much as 55 %. The replications also show that if the curves are dissimilar, some of the methods incorporating external data remain competitive to the standard nonparametric estimator.
-
The Diffusion of BT Cotton and its Impact on the Use of Conventional Pesticides in Cotton ProductionThis study examines diffusion of Bt cotton in 27 U.S. cotton-producing regions from 1996 to 1999. First, a dynamic logistic diffusion function is estimated to explain regional differences in both the rate and extent of Bt cotton adoption. The function's flexible specification allows for accelerated adoption as well as deadoption. Second, a pesticide use equation is estimated to test whether or not Bt cotton has reduced traditional pesticide use. The two equations are estimated independently and then as part of a simultaneous system to account for potential endogeneity of Bt adoption in the pesticide use equation. Results suggest that demand-side factors, such as pest damage, input costs, output price and government policy significantly influence diffusion, as do supply-side constraints on Bt seed variety availability. The hypothesis that use of Bt cotton does not reduce the use of traditional pesticides is solidly rejected in all of the econometric specifications tested. Results concerning farmers' overall costs, however, are more ambiguous. Estimates suggest that, in many regions, overall costs have not decreased and in several regions, may have increased, Cost-savings alone may not explain the widespread adoption of Bt cotton. Future research on the impacts of Bt cotton on yields would be useful.
-
Farmers' Training and the Adoption of Upland Agricultural Technologies in the Black River Watershed, Northwest of VietnamThis thesis aims to study the adoption of maize-related technologies in the Northwest of Vietnam. The study covers both sustainable and yield-enhancing technologies. A major hypothesis is to test the effects of training on adoption rate and farm yield. Previous literature shows that farmers' education and training are important in the adoption of new technologies, particularly with sustainable technologies. Three models are used: the training model, the adoption model, and the yield model. Findings show that farmers with and without training as well as adopters and nonadopters of new technologies are insignificantly different. Training has positive correlation with the adoption of new technologies but shows insignificant effects on yield. Farmers in the studied area do not adopt new technologies as a package. Adoption of improved maize unambiguously increases the yield. However, the adoption of other technologies shows insignificant effects. Future studies need to take into account factors like the time when a household started with each technology, the education level of the household head, and the area of land under each technology.
















